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Scholar: Pelosi's Taiwan Visit to Deal Heavy Blow to US-China Ties, Inflict Damage on Taipei_我的网站

一 |     北京时间8月18日清晨，一则由ESPN名记Shams曝出的消息，让整个篮球世界炸开了锅：巴斯家族已决定将其持有的洛杉矶湖人队剩余17.8%股份，全部出售给球队新的大股东，金融大亨乔什库什纳与前迪士尼CEO鲍勃艾格。这标志着自1979年老巴斯以6750万美元买下湖人以来，长达47年的“巴斯王朝”正式落幕。    "The actual intentions of Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan are inevitably sophisticated," says Dr. Chang Ching, a research fellow from the Taiwan-based Society for Strategic Studies and a lead military expert on the People's Liberation Army and regional security in Taiwan.,"To acquire a historical reputation is the obvious factor identified by many politicians. Delivering political signals to Beijing can also be another reason. Attempting to shape the political developments in Taiwan has been accused by certain political commentators as well. Nonetheless, the Chinese media basically define her maneuver as an 'impulsively sneaky visit,' which is a term generally applied to those people who are defined as politically hostile to the Beijing regime visiting certain territories protested by the People’s Republic of China," Dr. Chang continued.,Pundits have speculated about the possibility of Pelosi visiting Taiwan and China's reaction since April 2022; Beijing has clearly demonstrated its fierce opposition to the high-profile visit. After her tour was canceled in the spring after the House speaker reportedly got COVID-19, the debate got its second wind in July.,Pelosi neither officially confirmed nor denied her intent to visit Taipei. Likewise, the White House tried to distance itself from the Democratic politician's trip to Taiwan, while at the same time arguing that such a tour is by no means "uncommon" and that the US "shouldn’t be intimidated by [China's] rhetoric or... potential actions.",Pelosi Provocation Over Taiwan Leads US, World Into Age of Disorder And Instability: Martin Jacques10:27 GMT,"The worst indication reflected by Pelosi’s visit is the decline of the United States that no American politicians are willing to admit," says the Chinese scholar. "If Washington still keeps sufficient confidence to condition Beijing’s reactions to this issue, President Biden himself and his senior members of the government would not show their reluctance to support Pelosi’s visit. The differences between the executive branch and the legislative branch of the United States government on this visit are so clear to see.",Dr. Chang wonders why Pelosi chose to keep her Taiwan visit secret until the last moment. He notes that the House speaker cited "security concerns" over her travel plan.,"Actually, it is a matter of Pelosi’s integrity and also causing more speculations on the so-called American security commitments to Taiwan," says the scholar. "If the Speaker herself has no full confidence of security during her presence in Taiwan, how can people in Taiwan trust the United States is capable of supportive while Taiwan is in danger?",According to Dr. Chang, China has long been very clear about its "red lines" with regard to Taiwan. Therefore, "certain serious consequences can be expected," he notes, ruling out, however, a "full scale invasion or other form of armed conflict.",The scholar points out that there are many measures available in Beijing's toolbox towards Taiwan for conditioning Taipei’s political maneuvers. What's more, the Taipei leadership is "well aware of how damaging [Pelosi's] visit can be" for the island, he adds.,"What can the possible consequences be? It all depends on how Taipei will react to those measures towards Taiwan," says Dr. Chang. "After all, it is literally an interactive process. It takes two to tango. Whether it will turn into a negative spiral or on the contrary to a positive spiral is not merely decided by Beijing. Taipei’s reactions are also important. Also, Beijing will not only try to condition Taipei like many western media [outlets] expected but also press Washington at the same time. The possibility of any mutual cooperation between Beijing and Washington on any global issues has basically vanished in the near future. The difficulties of reconciliation by these two powers will also increase dramatically.",All the aforementioned negative consequences will be unquestionably associated with Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her ill-fated decision to visit Taiwan, according to the scholar.。         消息一出，球队现任掌门人珍妮巴斯立刻通过律师强硬驳斥，称报道“错误且具有诽谤性”。

二 | 但Shams随即回应，坚称报道无误。这并非简单的谣言攻防，而是一场赤裸裸的家族“内斗”，巴斯信托基金六名成员中，除珍妮外的五人已投票同意出售，她已被兄弟姐妹们“集体背刺”。

三 |          事实上，这已是湖人短短一年多内的第二次易主。2025年6月，马克沃尔特刚以100亿美元拿下控股权；仅18个月后，他便以125亿美元估值转手，净赚25亿潇洒离场。新老板库什纳和艾格接手后，合计持股将达到约83%。而根据NBA规定，球队控制人必须持有至少15%股份，珍妮因股权被清空，将直接失去老板代表的资格。她此前与沃尔特达成的“留任至2030年”协议，如今看来也岌岌可危。

四 |          这场股权风暴的直接冲击，就是总经理佩林卡摇摇欲坠的帅位。名嘴斯蒂芬A史密斯直言：“我认为佩林卡不会再继续担任湖人篮球运营负责人了”。CBS名记Sam Quinn更是毫不客气：“外界对于佩林卡位置不稳的讨论不无道理，换作是我，好几年前就会解雇他”。据ESPN报道，新东家已为佩林卡设定了为期6个月的考察期。

五 |          更耐人寻味的是，佩林卡在离任前夕进行了一场“临别豪赌”，自由市场开启不到24小时就连下四城，5笔操作砸了约4.46亿美元。他用2031年和2033年两个无保护首轮签加两次互换权，换来了中锋凯斯勒并送上4年1.3亿合同；又用4年1.85亿顶薪续约里夫斯。他把未来资产几乎全部押了出去。Quinn评价道：“这套建队思路完全出自他的规划，新任总经理想要推翻，难度非常大”。         而这所有动荡的起点，都可以追溯到上阵子，詹姆斯的离队！在上个月，詹姆斯以两年800万美元加盟76人，结束了8年湖人生涯。对比上赛季在湖人拿到的约5263万美元年薪，降幅高达92.6%，刷新NBA历史主动降薪纪录。据经纪人里奇保罗透露，詹姆斯离队的意愿从80%一路降到30%，最终他明确表示：“以我现在的人生阶段，那已经不是最适合我的选择”。         詹姆斯的离开，像推倒了第一块多米诺骨牌。湖人在失去这位历史级别的票房保证和争冠核心后，巴斯家族的兄弟们觉得是时候“落袋为安”了。湖人随即全面转向“东契奇单核时代”，用四年顶薪锁定里夫斯和凯斯勒。

六 | 但东契奇还没来得及和新老板正式坐下聊聊，他信任的那批管理层人员已经大部分离队，数据媒体给湖人新赛季的胜场预测只有45.5胜。         从詹姆斯离开，到巴斯家族内斗清仓，再到佩林卡濒临下课，这一连串风暴环环相扣。一支刚刚失去队史最伟大球员之一的球队，又失去了掌控近半个世纪的家族，连掌舵的管理层都可能要换人。东契奇，这个27岁的斯洛文尼亚天才，还没来得及在洛杉矶站稳脚跟，就发现自己身边的“左膀右臂”正在一个个消失，看吧，湖人后续可能还会有动作……。

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Published on:20:08:48